Hacker News with Generative AI: Statistics

Accuracy and Precision (wikipedia.org)
Accuracy and precision are two measures of observational error.
Collectively, the Tesla fleet has driven more than 3.6B miles on FSD (twitter.com)
Something went wrong, but don’t fret — let’s give it another shot.
The R Inferno (2011) [pdf] (burns-stat.com)
The Minard System (visionscarto.net)
“The Minard System,” a book to be published in November 2018, features “the complete statistical graphics of Charles-Joseph Minard — from the collection of the École nationale des Ponts et Chaussées”.
% of calories from carbs is a robust predictor of overweight prevalence (twitter.com)
Something went wrong, but don’t fret — let’s give it another shot.
The Best-Kept Secret of Dutch Biking: The Dutch Hardly Bike at All (2018) (peopleforbikes.org)
The Best-Kept Secret of Dutch Biking: The Dutch Hardly Bike at All
Body wasn't built to last: a lesson from human mortality rates (2009) (wordpress.com)
What do you think are the odds that you will die during the next year?  Try to put a number to it — 1 in 100?  1 in 10,000?  Whatever it is, it will be twice as large 8 years from now.
Experts warn about the 'crumbling infrastructure' of federal government data (npr.org)
Unstable funding for federal statistical agencies such as the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis, both based in Suitland, Md., is putting at risk the government statistics the U.S. uses to track changes in the country's economy and population, officials and data users warn.
Statistical Formulas for Programmers (2013) (evanmiller.org)
Being able to apply statistics is like having a secret superpower.
60% of adults will be overweight or obese by 2050, study says (japantimes.co.jp)
Nearly 60% of all adults and a third of all children in the world will be overweight or obese by 2050 unless governments take action, a large new study said Tuesday.
The inspection paradox is everywhere (2015) (blogspot.com)
The inspection paradox is a common source of confusion, an occasional source of error, and an opportunity for clever experimental design.  Most people are unaware of it, but like the cue marks that appear in movies to signal reel changes, once you notice it, you can’t stop seeing it.
Global sales of combustion engine cars have peaked (ourworldindata.org)
Global sales of combustion engine cars have peaked
NYC sees double-digit drops in overall crime, subway crime (ny1.com)
New York City saw a drop in crime last month, with overall crime falling nearly 17% compared to January 2024, according to NYPD statistics released Tuesday.
Is nearly a quarter of Gen Z queer – or is something else going on? (thehill.com)
According to a new Gallup report, nearly one in four Gen Z Americans identifies as lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender or queer. That’s more than just a statistic — it’s a statement, and a troubling one, for reasons that will become clearer.
Antidepressant use among teen girls and young women has skyrocketed (2024) (apa.org)
Trump Administration Keeps Citing an Untrue Stat as It Targets Federal Workers (propublica.org)
As the administration of President Donald Trump throws one government agency after another into the “wood chipper,” a startling statistic about federal workers keeps coming up: Only 6% of federal employees are working full time in their offices.
DisplayR: AI-powered Analysis and Reporting in R (displayr.com)
All blog posts about a chart or visualization type specifically, or which contains details on how to work with specific types of visualizations.
Worried about guns in NYC? Cars were more likely to kill you in 2024 (gothamist.com)
Show HN: Kartoffels – Cellular Automata, Statistics, 32-bit RISC-V (pwy.io)
Today I've released v0.7, which spans 122 commits and brings:
Basis of the Kalman Filter [pdf] (github.com/tpn)
Understanding the Basis of the Kalman Filter Via a Simple and Intuitive Derivation (2012).pdf
% Obesity by Country Ranking (worldobesity.org)
Prevalence of obesity (BMI ≥ 30kg/m²)
Backblaze Drive Stats for 2024 (backblaze.com)
As of December 31, 2024, we had 305,180 drives under management. Of that number, there were 4,060 boot drives and 301,120 data drives. This report will focus on those data drives as we review the Q4 2024 annualized failure rates (AFR), the 2024 failure rates, and the lifetime failure rates for the drive models in service as of the end of 2024.
Computing Tricky Probabilities Using Model Counting (msoos.org)
Probabilities of certain events are really hard to estimate sometimes. Often, it’s because we lack information of the underlying causal chains, but sometimes, it’s because the causes are so intertwined that even if we know the underlying probabilities of certain events happening along with the causal chains, it’s still impossible for us to untangle the web.
Supersizing vehicles offers minimal safety benefits – but substantial dangers (iihs.org)
The safety benefits of larger vehicles top out quickly once curb weights exceed the fleet average, a new IIHS study shows.
Servo in 2024: stats, features and donations (servo.org)
2025-01-31 Summary of Servo’s progress in 2024: some numbers, main highlights and plans for the future.
NYPD records longest no-shooting streak in 30 Years (abc7ny.com)
New York City went five days this week without a person shot -- the longest the NYPD has not recorded a shooting victim in at least 30 years -- but the streak is over.
Violent Crime Conviction Rate in Denmark by Nation of Origin 2010-2021 (twitter.com)
Two Bites of Data Science in K (zdsmith.com)
“no bowler with as many wickets has a better average”.
Major data revisions are coming – should make you trust official statistics more (slowboring.com)
Next month, the jobs report will incorporate its annual benchmark revision, which will meaningfully change some key economic statistics and will solve some nagging puzzles and misconceptions about the labor market.
More than 40% of postdocs leave academia, study reveals (nature.com)
More than 40% of postdoctoral researchers leave academia, according to a study of some 45,500 researchers’ careers1.