Perfect Recession Predictors
(perfectpredictors.com)
Each line shows the fraction of perfect yield curve spreads that were negative for a given prediction window (12, 18, or 24 months). An index value of 0 implies the lowest likely chance of recession, whereas an index value of 1 means the highest chance of recession.
Each line shows the fraction of perfect yield curve spreads that were negative for a given prediction window (12, 18, or 24 months). An index value of 0 implies the lowest likely chance of recession, whereas an index value of 1 means the highest chance of recession.