Hacker News with Generative AI: Predictions

The Most Impressive Prediction of All Time (youtubetranscriptoptimizer.com)
I've always been impressed when people can truly predict the future. Perhaps it's from my years working as a professional investor at hedge funds, but when someone makes a concrete, explicit prediction— particularly one that is highly contrarian and non-consensus at the time (which is the only way to make truly outsized returns in the market)— I sit up and take notice.

Predictions, Investing, Finance

7 points by eigenvalue 12 hours ago | 4 comments

Some things to expect in 2025 (lwn.net)
We are reliably informed by the calendar that yet another year has begun.

Technology, Predictions, Future

255 points by signa11 1 day ago | 180 comments

My subjective notes on the state of AI at the end of 2024 (ycombinator.com)
The AI landscape continues to evolve rapidly. At the end of 2024 I take time to reflect on the current state of AI and make some predictions about the future.

Artificial Intelligence, Trends, Predictions, 2024

4 points by tiendil 1 day ago | 4 comments

Relocating for Tech Jobs in 2025 (ycombinator.com)
Helping software engineers to relocate during my last 12 years and working with various hiring companies (from Japan to Canada), I tried to connect the dots and share my predictions for the job relocation market in 2025.

Tech Jobs, Relocation, Predictions, Hiring

13 points by andrewstetsenko 2 days ago | 16 comments

My AI/LLM predictions for the next 1, 3 and 6 years (simonwillison.net)
The Oxide and Friends podcast has an annual tradition of asking guests to share their predictions for the next 1, 3 and 6 years.

Generative AI, Artificial Intelligence, Predictions, Technology, Podcasts

22 points by azhenley 7 days ago | 6 comments

Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01 (rodneybrooks.com)
This is my seventh annual update on how my dated predictions from January 1st, 2018 concerning (1) self driving cars, (2) robotics, AI , and machine learning, and (3) human space travel, have held up. I promised then to review them at the start of the year every year until 2050 (right after my 95th birthday), thirty two years in total. The idea is to hold myself accountable for those predictions. How right or wrong was I?

Predictions, Future, Technology, Robotics, Space Travel

243 points by timr 8 days ago | 185 comments

41% of companies worldwide plan to reduce workforces by 2030 due to AI (cnn.com)

AI, Workforce, Business, Technology, Predictions

20 points by pseudolus 9 days ago | 17 comments

Who would have won the Simon-Ehrlich bet over different decades? (ourworldindata.org)
In 1980, the biologist Paul Ehrlich agreed to a bet with the economist Julian Simon on how the prices of five materials would change over the next decade.

Economics, Environmentalism, Predictions, History, 1980s

74 points by sien 9 days ago | 74 comments

Sam Altman says "we are now confident we know how to build AGI" (arstechnica.com)
On Sunday, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman offered two eye-catching predictions about the near-future of artificial intelligence. In a post titled "Reflections" on his personal blog, Altman wrote, "We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it." He added, "We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents 'join the workforce' and materially change the output of companies."

Generative AI, Artificial Intelligence, Technology, Predictions

6 points by thunderbong 9 days ago | 1 comments

2025 Internet Predictions with John Graham-Cumming (cloudflare.tv)
Join host João Tomé and Cloudflare's CTO John Graham-Cumming for the final episode of "This Week in Net" in 2024, broadcasting from a rainy Lisbon, Portugal. The conversation reflects on Cloudflare's achievements throughout the year, including significant developments in Workers platform, AI capabilities, and hardware innovations.

Internet Predictions, Cloud Computing, Technology, Artificial Intelligence, Predictions

3 points by emot 11 days ago | 0 comments

Software is eating the world, all right (2024) (medium.com)
I am not sure Marc if you will ever read this post, but it is written to you:

Software, Technology, Predictions, 2024

184 points by pegasus 11 days ago | 131 comments

AI Predictions for 2025, from Gary Marcus (garymarcus.substack.com)
As against Elon Musk who said, in April 2024 with respect to the end of 2025 “My guess is that we'll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year [ie. end of 2025]”, here my own predictions for where we will be at the end of this year:

Artificial Intelligence, Predictions

43 points by mentalgear 16 days ago | 23 comments

30 years ago Tomorrow's World predicted 2025 – how did it do? (bbc.com)
In 1995, the BBC's Tomorrow's World programme decided to predict what the world would look like 30 years later, in 2025.

Technology, Predictions, Future, Media, BBC

6 points by neversaydie 16 days ago | 1 comments

What Will Happen in 2025 (avc.xyz)
I've done a lot of these January 1st look forward posts in the 20+ years I've been blogging. I've used many different approaches. I sometimes talk big themes, like I did last year. I sometimes focus on just one thing. And sometimes I just make a bunch of predictions. I am going to do the latter approach today because I feel like it and it's so much fun.

Predictions, Future, Technology, 2025

7 points by jger15 16 days ago | 8 comments

Happy New Year (ycombinator.com)
What are your predictions for 2025?

Predictions, Future, New Year

9 points by appwiz 17 days ago | 1 comments

What is your bet in 2025? (ycombinator.com)
What tech, product, or project are you betting on for 2025?

Technology, Predictions, Future

29 points by anh690136 19 days ago | 41 comments

China Hits EV Target 10 Years Early, Still Hasn't Reached 2020 Nuclear Target (cleantechnica.com)
On October 27th of 2020, the China Society of Automotive Engineers laid out a roadmap for how the country was going to achieve 50% of all cars sold in 2035 being fully electric, plug-in hybrid, or hydrogen, with 95% of them of course being fully electric. Per projections from HSBC, UBS, Morningstar, and Wood Mackenzie, that’s actually going to happen in 2025, a full decade early, with of course hydrogen cars at perhaps 0.02%, approaching zero.

China, Electric Vehicles, Energy, Predictions, Nuclear Power

8 points by xbmcuser 21 days ago | 4 comments

Matt Mullenweg Asks What Drama to Create in 2025, Community Reacts (wptavern.com)
On Christmas Eve, WordPress co-founder Matt Mullenweg took to Reddit, causing quite a stir by asking what kind of drama he should create in 2025.

WordPress, Community, Social Media, Predictions, Humor

58 points by bookofjoe 21 days ago | 42 comments

Ask HN: Predictions for 2025? (ycombinator.com)
2024 has been a wild ride with lots of development inside and outside AI.<p>What are your predictions for this coming year?

Predictions, Technology, Artificial Intelligence, Future, 2025

286 points by uncomplexity_ 26 days ago | 588 comments

Ask HN: 2026 Predictions (ycombinator.com)

Predictions, Technology, Future, Ask HN

41 points by bloomingkales 36 days ago | 43 comments

Sundar Pichai says Google Search will 'change profoundly' in 2025 (theverge.com)
Google CEO Sundar Pichai says the company’s search engine will “change profoundly” in 2025.

Google, Search Engines, Artificial Intelligence, Predictions

7 points by kaycebasques 42 days ago | 0 comments

A16Z 2025 Big Ideas for Crypto (a16zcrypto.com)
Editor’s note: a16z released its omnibus list of “big ideas” tech builders may tackle in the year ahead, according to partners across AI, American Dynamism, bio/ health, crypto, enterprise, fintech, games, infrastructure, and other areas. Below is a shortlist of some of the things that excite our various a16z crypto partners about what’s ahead. And for a 2025 outlook on policy, regulation, and more, check out this November 2024 post.

Cryptocurrency, Venture Capital, Predictions, Technology, 2025

12 points by wslh 43 days ago | 12 comments

Will the bubble burst for AI in 2025, or will it start to deliver? (economist.com)
It may be the biggest gamble in business history. Today’s mania for artificial intelligence (AI) began with the launch of ChatGPT at the end of November 2022. OpenAI’s chatbot attracted 100m users within weeks, faster than any product in history. Investors also piled in. Spending on AI data centres between 2024 and 2027 is expected to exceed $1.4trn; the market value of Nvidia, the leading maker of AI chips, has increased eight-fold, to more than $3trn.

Artificial Intelligence, Technology, Business, Predictions

10 points by uxhacker 53 days ago | 17 comments

Keynes Predicted We Would Be Working 15-Hour Weeks. Why Was He So Wrong? (2015) (npr.org)
The economist John Maynard Keynes once wrote an essay titled "Economic Possibilities For Our Grandchildren." It was 1930. And in the essay, he made a startling prediction. Keynes figured that by the time his children had grown up, basically now, people might be working just 15 hours a week.

Economics, History, Labor, Predictions

25 points by ingve 55 days ago | 45 comments

Ask HN: What companies will be remote friendly in 2025? (ycombinator.com)
Ask HN: What companies will be remote friendly in 2025?

Remote Work, Predictions, Companies, Technology

7 points by openair18 57 days ago | 2 comments

Singularity Missed (piekniewski.info)
Every now and then in the discussions of AI/AGI and what not comes the central figure of that entire intellectual movement - Ray Kurzweil. And with him inevitably comes a form of an exponential chart like the one below:

Artificial Intelligence, Ray Kurzweil, Technology, Predictions

35 points by telotortium 59 days ago | 24 comments

Vivek Ramaswamy on X: "Will entire agencies be deleted? Answer: yes (twitter.com)

Politics, Social Media, AI, Predictions

36 points by loongloong 59 days ago | 116 comments

Show HN: Betron Markets – Shape the future with your predictions (betron.io)
Dive into a lively and engaging world where each wager amplifies the excitement, offering a smooth, transparent experience powered by cutting-edge technology on the Arbitrum network.

Blockchain, Decentralized Finance, Predictions, Gaming, Arbitrum

10 points by AhmedBn 60 days ago | 0 comments

Gwern Branwen – How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory [video] (youtube.com)