I use AI to predict the future
(gwintrob.com)
I compete in an annual predictions contest with a group of friends. Each January, we make a series of guesses about the economy, politics, etc. to see who is most accurate at the end of the year. Beyond the cash prize, the winner gets a green Masters jacket and the loser has to give a short presentation on how they made their predictions.
I compete in an annual predictions contest with a group of friends. Each January, we make a series of guesses about the economy, politics, etc. to see who is most accurate at the end of the year. Beyond the cash prize, the winner gets a green Masters jacket and the loser has to give a short presentation on how they made their predictions.
Datacenter energy use to more than double by 2030 thanks AI's insatiable thirst
(theregister.com)
AI's thirst for electricity will see datacenter energy use more than double by the end of the decade – just five years from now – according to the latest forecast from investment banker Goldman Sachs.
AI's thirst for electricity will see datacenter energy use more than double by the end of the decade – just five years from now – according to the latest forecast from investment banker Goldman Sachs.
Ask HN: What do you expect will be the real impact of AI on society in 10 years
(ycombinator.com)
I started to get more curious on this, especially beyond the obligatory “genAI will do everything.” What are your thoughts on societal impact.
I started to get more curious on this, especially beyond the obligatory “genAI will do everything.” What are your thoughts on societal impact.
2025 will likely be another brutal year of failed startups, data suggests
(techcrunch.com)
More startups shut down in 2024 than the year prior, according to multiple sources, and that’s not really a surprise considering the insane number of companies that were funded in the crazy days of 2020 and 2021.
More startups shut down in 2024 than the year prior, according to multiple sources, and that’s not really a surprise considering the insane number of companies that were funded in the crazy days of 2020 and 2021.
Old Media Wakes Up from a Coma
(honest-broker.com)
A little over a year ago, I announced that new media would triumph over old media in 2024. That happened with a vengeance.
A little over a year ago, I announced that new media would triumph over old media in 2024. That happened with a vengeance.
Yann LeCun predicts "new paradigm of AI architectures" within 5 years
(techcrunch.com)
Meta’s chief AI scientist, Yann LeCun, says that a “new paradigm of AI architectures” will emerge in the next three to five years, going far beyond the capabilities of existing AI systems.
Meta’s chief AI scientist, Yann LeCun, says that a “new paradigm of AI architectures” will emerge in the next three to five years, going far beyond the capabilities of existing AI systems.
How quickly will AI improve?
(jasonhanley.com)
A common thread in early 2025 is “AI sucks at X or Y”. For instance, “AI sucks at coding. It introduced a bug and couldn’t even fix it!” Or “AI sucks at image generation. Look at how often it gets the text wrong!”
A common thread in early 2025 is “AI sucks at X or Y”. For instance, “AI sucks at coding. It introduced a bug and couldn’t even fix it!” Or “AI sucks at image generation. Look at how often it gets the text wrong!”
Anthropic Chief Says AI Could Surpass 'Almost All Humans ' Shortly After 2027
(arstechnica.com)
On Tuesday, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei predicted that AI models may surpass human capabilities "in almost everything" within two to three years, according to a Wall Street Journal interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
On Tuesday, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei predicted that AI models may surpass human capabilities "in almost everything" within two to three years, according to a Wall Street Journal interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
Ask HN: What will be the next trend after AI?
(ycombinator.com)
Past big data, ML, Metaverse, crypto, blockchain, and now AI. But what do you believe will be the next trend?
Past big data, ML, Metaverse, crypto, blockchain, and now AI. But what do you believe will be the next trend?
By 2028 cloud free companies are going to be most valuable
(ycombinator.com)
By 2028 cloud free companies are going to be most valuable
By 2028 cloud free companies are going to be most valuable
The Most Impressive Prediction of All Time
(youtubetranscriptoptimizer.com)
I've always been impressed when people can truly predict the future. Perhaps it's from my years working as a professional investor at hedge funds, but when someone makes a concrete, explicit prediction— particularly one that is highly contrarian and non-consensus at the time (which is the only way to make truly outsized returns in the market)— I sit up and take notice.
I've always been impressed when people can truly predict the future. Perhaps it's from my years working as a professional investor at hedge funds, but when someone makes a concrete, explicit prediction— particularly one that is highly contrarian and non-consensus at the time (which is the only way to make truly outsized returns in the market)— I sit up and take notice.
Some things to expect in 2025
(lwn.net)
We are reliably informed by the calendar that yet another year has begun.
We are reliably informed by the calendar that yet another year has begun.
My subjective notes on the state of AI at the end of 2024
(ycombinator.com)
The AI landscape continues to evolve rapidly. At the end of 2024 I take time to reflect on the current state of AI and make some predictions about the future.
The AI landscape continues to evolve rapidly. At the end of 2024 I take time to reflect on the current state of AI and make some predictions about the future.
Relocating for Tech Jobs in 2025
(ycombinator.com)
Helping software engineers to relocate during my last 12 years and working with various hiring companies (from Japan to Canada), I tried to connect the dots and share my predictions for the job relocation market in 2025.
Helping software engineers to relocate during my last 12 years and working with various hiring companies (from Japan to Canada), I tried to connect the dots and share my predictions for the job relocation market in 2025.
My AI/LLM predictions for the next 1, 3 and 6 years
(simonwillison.net)
The Oxide and Friends podcast has an annual tradition of asking guests to share their predictions for the next 1, 3 and 6 years.
The Oxide and Friends podcast has an annual tradition of asking guests to share their predictions for the next 1, 3 and 6 years.
Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01
(rodneybrooks.com)
This is my seventh annual update on how my dated predictions from January 1st, 2018 concerning (1) self driving cars, (2) robotics, AI , and machine learning, and (3) human space travel, have held up. I promised then to review them at the start of the year every year until 2050 (right after my 95th birthday), thirty two years in total. The idea is to hold myself accountable for those predictions. How right or wrong was I?
This is my seventh annual update on how my dated predictions from January 1st, 2018 concerning (1) self driving cars, (2) robotics, AI , and machine learning, and (3) human space travel, have held up. I promised then to review them at the start of the year every year until 2050 (right after my 95th birthday), thirty two years in total. The idea is to hold myself accountable for those predictions. How right or wrong was I?
Who would have won the Simon-Ehrlich bet over different decades?
(ourworldindata.org)
In 1980, the biologist Paul Ehrlich agreed to a bet with the economist Julian Simon on how the prices of five materials would change over the next decade.
In 1980, the biologist Paul Ehrlich agreed to a bet with the economist Julian Simon on how the prices of five materials would change over the next decade.
Sam Altman says "we are now confident we know how to build AGI"
(arstechnica.com)
On Sunday, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman offered two eye-catching predictions about the near-future of artificial intelligence. In a post titled "Reflections" on his personal blog, Altman wrote, "We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it." He added, "We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents 'join the workforce' and materially change the output of companies."
On Sunday, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman offered two eye-catching predictions about the near-future of artificial intelligence. In a post titled "Reflections" on his personal blog, Altman wrote, "We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it." He added, "We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents 'join the workforce' and materially change the output of companies."
2025 Internet Predictions with John Graham-Cumming
(cloudflare.tv)
Join host João Tomé and Cloudflare's CTO John Graham-Cumming for the final episode of "This Week in Net" in 2024, broadcasting from a rainy Lisbon, Portugal. The conversation reflects on Cloudflare's achievements throughout the year, including significant developments in Workers platform, AI capabilities, and hardware innovations.
Join host João Tomé and Cloudflare's CTO John Graham-Cumming for the final episode of "This Week in Net" in 2024, broadcasting from a rainy Lisbon, Portugal. The conversation reflects on Cloudflare's achievements throughout the year, including significant developments in Workers platform, AI capabilities, and hardware innovations.
Software is eating the world, all right (2024)
(medium.com)
I am not sure Marc if you will ever read this post, but it is written to you:
I am not sure Marc if you will ever read this post, but it is written to you:
AI Predictions for 2025, from Gary Marcus
(garymarcus.substack.com)
As against Elon Musk who said, in April 2024 with respect to the end of 2025 “My guess is that we'll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year [ie. end of 2025]”, here my own predictions for where we will be at the end of this year:
As against Elon Musk who said, in April 2024 with respect to the end of 2025 “My guess is that we'll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year [ie. end of 2025]”, here my own predictions for where we will be at the end of this year:
30 years ago Tomorrow's World predicted 2025 – how did it do?
(bbc.com)
In 1995, the BBC's Tomorrow's World programme decided to predict what the world would look like 30 years later, in 2025.
In 1995, the BBC's Tomorrow's World programme decided to predict what the world would look like 30 years later, in 2025.
What Will Happen in 2025
(avc.xyz)
I've done a lot of these January 1st look forward posts in the 20+ years I've been blogging. I've used many different approaches. I sometimes talk big themes, like I did last year. I sometimes focus on just one thing. And sometimes I just make a bunch of predictions. I am going to do the latter approach today because I feel like it and it's so much fun.
I've done a lot of these January 1st look forward posts in the 20+ years I've been blogging. I've used many different approaches. I sometimes talk big themes, like I did last year. I sometimes focus on just one thing. And sometimes I just make a bunch of predictions. I am going to do the latter approach today because I feel like it and it's so much fun.
What is your bet in 2025?
(ycombinator.com)
What tech, product, or project are you betting on for 2025?
What tech, product, or project are you betting on for 2025?