Hacker News with Generative AI: Uncertainty

How do you choose where to be? (ycombinator.com)
Feeling very lost. On one hand I don’t want to move out and feel like I’ve made a mistake ‘giving up’ second year of music school, on the other I’m already feeling this about exciting tech projects and jobs I’m refusing, and about being close to friends & family in the city.<p>How do you choose where to be?
Life Choices, Career Decisions, Personal Growth, Uncertainty, Music
28 points by liminal-dev 40 days ago | 36 comments
Knightian Uncertainty (wikipedia.org)
In economics, Knightian uncertainty is a lack of any quantifiable knowledge about some possible occurrence, as opposed to the presence of quantifiable risk (e.g., that in statistical noise or a parameter's confidence interval). The concept acknowledges some fundamental degree of ignorance, a limit to knowledge, and an essential unpredictability of future events.
Economics, Uncertainty, Knowledge, Risk
8 points by wslh 67 days ago | 0 comments
Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words (2022) (arxiv.org)
We show that a GPT-3 model can learn to express uncertainty about its own answers in natural language -- without use of model logits.
Generative AI, Uncertainty
7 points by Bluestein 68 days ago | 0 comments
We don't know how bad most things are nor precisely how they're bad (lesswrong.com)
Philosophy, Cognitive Science, Uncertainty, Epistemology, Rationality
407 points by surprisetalk 92 days ago | 310 comments
Designing the avocado of uncertainty visualization (stamen.com)
Data Visualization, Uncertainty, Design
90 points by skadamat 162 days ago | 11 comments