Hacker News with Generative AI: Uncertainty

What We Knew Without Knowing (newyorker.com)
I said I wasn’t sure where we left off, Dr. MacKinnon said why not begin where you are now. I said I wasn’t sure where I was now, life seemed rather scattered, we had not seen Quintana but had talked to her, she had seemed on the occasions we spoke in generally good spirits, fairly upbeat. Still, I found myself worrying, waiting for the bad news to kick in.

Personal Essays, Life, Relationships, Uncertainty

39 points by apollinaire 1 day ago | 4 comments

The struggle that made us in Waterloo (bearblog.dev)
I can feel uncertainty looming over the software industry as the hiring frenzy of the COVID era has given way to layoffs and hiring freezes.

Software Industry, Layoffs, Hiring, Uncertainty, Waterloo

20 points by d-k-blackthorn 13 days ago | 6 comments

Show HN: Klarity – Open-source tool to analyze uncertainty/entropy in LLM output (github.com/klara-research)
Klarity is a tool for analyzing uncertainty in generative model outputs.

Generative AI, Open Source, Uncertainty

132 points by mrciffa 60 days ago | 26 comments

Confusion, uncertainty in industry as Army contracts seemingly halted (breakingdefense.com)
WASHINGTON — The defense industry is in a state bordering between confusion and panic, following what could be a pause awarding new Army contracts as the service reviews its plans under the Trump administration.

Military, Defense Industry, Politics, Uncertainty

38 points by KnuthIsGod 65 days ago | 82 comments

AI Coding Assistant Is Gaslighting You – The Hidden Cost of Uncertainty (jc.tt)
The recent Devin review by Answer.AI highlights a critical but often overlooked aspect of AI coding assistants: their maddening unpredictability.

AI, Coding, Generative AI, Uncertainty

4 points by kurinikku 76 days ago | 1 comments

Uncertainty is part of being human, so how can we learn to live with it? (theguardian.com)
A professor of statistics explains that living is about taking risks and not knowing the outcome, and why it’s important to accept and embrace that

Uncertainty, Philosophy, Human Nature, Psychology

11 points by ColinWright 107 days ago | 3 comments

How do you choose where to be? (ycombinator.com)
Feeling very lost. On one hand I don’t want to move out and feel like I’ve made a mistake ‘giving up’ second year of music school, on the other I’m already feeling this about exciting tech projects and jobs I’m refusing, and about being close to friends & family in the city.<p>How do you choose where to be?

Life Choices, Career Decisions, Personal Growth, Uncertainty, Music

28 points by liminal-dev 174 days ago | 36 comments

Knightian Uncertainty (wikipedia.org)
In economics, Knightian uncertainty is a lack of any quantifiable knowledge about some possible occurrence, as opposed to the presence of quantifiable risk (e.g., that in statistical noise or a parameter's confidence interval). The concept acknowledges some fundamental degree of ignorance, a limit to knowledge, and an essential unpredictability of future events.

Economics, Uncertainty, Knowledge, Risk

8 points by wslh 201 days ago | 0 comments

Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words (2022) (arxiv.org)
We show that a GPT-3 model can learn to express uncertainty about its own answers in natural language -- without use of model logits.

Generative AI, Uncertainty

7 points by Bluestein 202 days ago | 0 comments

We don't know how bad most things are nor precisely how they're bad (lesswrong.com)