Hacker News with Generative AI: Uncertainty

AI Coding Assistant Is Gaslighting You – The Hidden Cost of Uncertainty (jc.tt)
The recent Devin review by Answer.AI highlights a critical but often overlooked aspect of AI coding assistants: their maddening unpredictability.
Uncertainty is part of being human, so how can we learn to live with it? (theguardian.com)
A professor of statistics explains that living is about taking risks and not knowing the outcome, and why it’s important to accept and embrace that
How do you choose where to be? (ycombinator.com)
Feeling very lost. On one hand I don’t want to move out and feel like I’ve made a mistake ‘giving up’ second year of music school, on the other I’m already feeling this about exciting tech projects and jobs I’m refusing, and about being close to friends & family in the city.<p>How do you choose where to be?
Knightian Uncertainty (wikipedia.org)
In economics, Knightian uncertainty is a lack of any quantifiable knowledge about some possible occurrence, as opposed to the presence of quantifiable risk (e.g., that in statistical noise or a parameter's confidence interval). The concept acknowledges some fundamental degree of ignorance, a limit to knowledge, and an essential unpredictability of future events.
Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words (2022) (arxiv.org)
We show that a GPT-3 model can learn to express uncertainty about its own answers in natural language -- without use of model logits.
We don't know how bad most things are nor precisely how they're bad (lesswrong.com)
Designing the avocado of uncertainty visualization (stamen.com)