Hacker News with Generative AI: Predictability

'Next-Level' Chaos Traces the True Limit of Predictability (quantamagazine.org)
In math and computer science, researchers have long understood that some questions are fundamentally unanswerable. Now physicists are exploring how even ordinary physical systems put hard limits on what we can predict, even in principle.
Value-Based Deep RL Scales Predictably (arxiv.org)
Scaling data and compute is critical to the success of machine learning. However, scaling demands predictability: we want methods to not only perform well with more compute or data, but also have their performance be predictable from small-scale runs, without running the large-scale experiment.
The Surprising Predictability of Long Runs (2012) [pdf] (csun.edu)
The Linux kernel giving CVEs to all bugfixes is sort of predictable (utoronto.ca)