Possibly a Serious Possibility
(kucharski.substack.com)
Sherman Kent was rattled. It was March 1951 and Kent, a CIA analyst, had found himself in a troubling conversation about some recent intelligence. A few days earlier, Kent's team had released a report titled ‘Probability of an Invasion of Yugoslavia in 1951’, which concluded that Soviet aggression against Yugoslavia ‘should be considered a serious possibility’.
Sherman Kent was rattled. It was March 1951 and Kent, a CIA analyst, had found himself in a troubling conversation about some recent intelligence. A few days earlier, Kent's team had released a report titled ‘Probability of an Invasion of Yugoslavia in 1951’, which concluded that Soviet aggression against Yugoslavia ‘should be considered a serious possibility’.